This incident can encourage Iran to restart building its nuclear arsenal and building more lethal weapons like chemical or biological weapons just to show the world they have abilities though they got a huge economic vulnerability.
One of the major consequences of killing Soleimani is that Iran will more reckless in The Strait Of Hormuz and crude oil price may rise more as it has just risen 4%. but Iran won't be that much furious just right now cause it's a big trap for them driven by Trump. It's a trap because if Iran goes for a massive war with its full capabilities Iran will be destroyed cause Iran got no strong ally when even Putin is playing there like a rounded potato.
On the other side of The Atlantic Trump's main strategy is to win the upcoming presidential election again. So he wanted to kill two birds with one stone by killing Soleimani. But this strategy isn't really working as it worked in case of Indian prime minister Modi's Balakot bombing because of the difference between media of India and the USA. At that time Modi's cabinet was praised by whole Indian media and people but in the case of Trump, he's criticized by media & his own people. So Donald Trump is losing public support and will probably lose the upcoming election if it happens without any foreign influence.
The Iraqi parliament's passed new bill will make more chaos there in Iraq as it says there will have no foreign military bases in Iraq's soil.USA & other countries like Turkey, France, and even Iran will have no direct military influence in Iraq if Iraqi govt can implement and execute perfectly. But is this really going to happen??? There's a little hope left from Iraqi govt cause Iraq is the USA's one of the most strategic points in the whole Middle East and the USA isn't going to leave Iraq so soon. If a conflict really arises we can expect another Iraq-US war while Iran will be helping Iraq which will destroy whole damaged Iraq.
In the term of The Strait Of Hormuz, Iran isn't going to do much there because then Iran has to face whole Europe, USA & Middle East threats which will be devastating for Iran.
The author is a student at Department of Criminology, University Of Dhaka.
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